Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.72
assuming max odds 3.00
assuming max odds 3.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 36.05%; Bohemians (Visit): 32.88%; Draw: 31.07%. For Bohemians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%EV -1.94%E -0.713%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.44%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.16%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -4.82%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -6.96%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -8.65%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -4.82%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -6.96%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -8.65%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.12%E -0.673%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 19:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-16 19:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-16 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.99%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.29%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.40%E -2.48%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.99%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.29%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.40%E -2.48%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 19:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 18:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-16 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-16 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-16 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -17.81%E -7.12%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-16 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-16 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -10.82%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -10.82%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.57%EV -12.39%E -5.10%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-16 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.86%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.85%EV -13.87%E -5.29%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.55%E -5.29%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 36.80%EV -14.92%E -6.32%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.40%EV -11.89%E -4.44%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.80%EV -12.37%E -4.39%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-16 19:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |