L’École des cotes

Shelbourne Dublin v Bohemians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prévision 36.05%2.77cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.713%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.57%36.13%36.05%37.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.362.512.502.7242.37%39.85%40.00%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bohemians (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.88%3.04cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.458%
Kelly -0.687%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.63%32.81%32.85%34.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.842.823.0040.00%35.25%35.46%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.07%3.22cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -0.986%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.15%31.07%31.10%31.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.922.903.1536.36%34.21%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%EV -1.94%E -0.713%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.44%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.16%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 19:35
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 19:35
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 19:35
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 19:40
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -4.82%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -6.96%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -8.65%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -4.82%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -6.96%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -8.65%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:35
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.12%E -0.673%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 19:24
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 19:39
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:25
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:40
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.99%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.29%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.40%E -2.48%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 16:40
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.99%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.29%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.40%E -2.48%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 16:39
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 16:39
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:39
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:40
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 16:45
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 18:05
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 19:20
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 19:20
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 19:19
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-16 16:40
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 18:45
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-16 19:40
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -17.81%E -7.12%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-16 19:40
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:44
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:44
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:44
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -10.82%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 18:45
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -10.82%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.57%EV -12.39%E -5.10%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-16 16:45
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 16:45
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-16 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 16:39
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 35.86%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.85%EV -13.87%E -5.29%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.55%E -5.29%K -8.31%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (FR)2.36I 42.37%NM 36.80%EV -14.92%E -6.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.40%EV -11.89%E -4.44%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.80%EV -12.37%E -4.39%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-16 19:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-03-16 19:40
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-03-16 19:40