Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shelbourne Dublin v Bohemians

Início: 2026-03-16 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Previsão 36.05%2.77odd justa
EV -1.94%
Vantagem -0.713%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.57%36.13%36.05%37.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.362.512.502.7242.37%39.85%40.00%36.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bohemians (Visitante)

Previsão 32.88%3.04odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.458%
Kelly -0.687%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.63%32.81%32.85%34.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.842.823.0040.00%35.25%35.46%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.07%3.22odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -0.673%
Kelly -0.986%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.15%31.07%31.10%31.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.922.903.1536.36%34.21%34.48%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 36.05%; Bohemians (Visitante): 32.88%; Empate: 31.07%. Para Bohemians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.04. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.00, com valor esperado de -1.37%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%EV -1.94%E -0.713%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.44%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.16%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 19:35
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 19:40
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -4.82%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -6.96%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -8.65%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -4.82%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -6.96%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -8.65%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:35
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.12%E -0.673%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 19:24
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 19:39
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:40
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.99%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.29%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.40%E -2.48%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 16:40
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.99%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.29%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.40%E -2.48%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 16:39
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:39
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:40
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 16:45
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 18:05
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 19:20
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 19:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-16 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 18:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-16 19:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -17.81%E -7.12%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-16 19:40
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:44
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 16:45
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -10.82%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 18:45
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -10.82%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.57%EV -12.39%E -5.10%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-16 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 16:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-16 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.86%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.85%EV -13.87%E -5.29%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.55%E -5.29%K -8.31%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 36.80%EV -14.92%E -6.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.40%EV -11.89%E -4.44%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.80%EV -12.37%E -4.39%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-16 19:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-03-16 19:40
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-03-16 19:40