La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Shelbourne Dublin v Bohemians
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Predicción 36.05%2.77momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.713%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.57%36.13%36.05%37.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.362.512.502.7242.37%39.85%40.00%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bohemians (Visitante)
Predicción 32.88%3.04momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.458%
Kelly -0.687%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.63%32.81%32.85%34.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.842.823.0040.00%35.25%35.46%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.07%3.22momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.673%
Kelly -0.986%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.15%31.07%31.10%31.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.922.903.1536.36%34.21%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%EV -1.94%E -0.713%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.44%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.16%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -4.82%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -6.96%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -8.65%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -4.82%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -6.96%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -8.65%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.12%E -0.673%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 19:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-16 19:39 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-16 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.99%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.29%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.40%E -2.48%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.99%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.29%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.40%E -2.48%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 19:39 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| BetAnything | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 18:05 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-16 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.07%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-16 19:20 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-16 18:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -17.81%E -7.12%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:44 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -1.37%E -0.458%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-16 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-16 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -10.82%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 18:45 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -11.67%E -4.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -10.82%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.57%EV -12.39%E -5.10%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-16 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.86%EV -13.48%E -5.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.85%EV -13.87%E -5.29%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.55%E -5.29%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 36.80%EV -14.92%E -6.32%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.40%EV -11.89%E -4.44%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.80%EV -12.37%E -4.39%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-16 19:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |