The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Galway United v Shelbourne Dublin

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 18:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Galway United (Local)

Prediction 31.52%3.17fair odd
EV +3.06%
Edge +0.935%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.48%31.41%31.54%32.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.892.903.2737.74%34.58%34.48%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)

Prediction 38.59%2.59fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.18%38.67%38.60%40.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.402.4745.45%42.46%41.67%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.89%3.35fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.586%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.61%29.92%29.86%31.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.073.103.3034.48%32.62%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 31.52%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 38.59%; Draw: 29.89%. For Galway United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.48%EV +3.06%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.01%EV -7.00%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.51%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 18:20
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.742%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 18:25
Everygame🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.32%E -3.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 12:09
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 12:09
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.08%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -4.69%E -1.90%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.07%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.03%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -1.35%E -0.408%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 17:30
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.97%E -2.73%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 16:54
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.97%E -2.73%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 16:55
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:34
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:35
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:35
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 18:18
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 18:20
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 18:20
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.55%E -3.33%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.55%E -3.33%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 05:39
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:54
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.28%EV -15.10%E -6.87%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.29%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-10 18:15
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.91%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-10 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.38%EV -16.48%E -6.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.01%EV -15.10%E -6.87%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-08 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-04-10 18:22
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-04-10 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75%1.84I 54.35%NM 46.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%15.9%2026-04-10 18:22