La scuola delle quote

Galway United v Shelbourne Dublin

Inizio: 2026-04-10 18:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Galway United (Casa)

Previsione 31.52%3.17quota equa
EV +3.06%
Vantaggio +0.935%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescita +0.041%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.48%31.41%31.54%32.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.892.903.2737.74%34.58%34.48%30.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shelbourne Dublin (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.59%2.59quota equa
EV -4.69%
Vantaggio -1.90%
Kelly -3.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.18%38.67%38.60%40.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.352.402.4745.45%42.46%41.67%40.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.89%3.35quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.408%
Kelly -0.586%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.61%29.92%29.86%31.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.073.103.3034.48%32.62%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 29.48%EV +3.06%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.01%EV -7.00%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.51%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 18:20
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.742%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 18:25
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.32%E -3.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 18:15
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 12:09
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 12:09
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.08%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -4.69%E -1.90%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 18:35
Marathon Bet2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.07%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 18:40
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.03%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -1.35%E -0.408%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 17:30
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.97%E -2.73%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 16:54
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.97%E -2.73%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 16:55
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 16:55
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:34
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:35
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:35
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 18:18
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 18:20
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 18:20
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.55%E -3.33%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.55%E -3.33%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 18:20
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 05:39
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 17:30
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 18:25
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:54
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.28%EV -15.10%E -6.87%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.29%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-10 18:15
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.91%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-10 17:30
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.38%EV -16.48%E -6.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.01%EV -15.10%E -6.87%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-08 16:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-04-10 18:22
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-04-10 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75%1.84I 54.35%NM 46.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%15.9%2026-04-10 18:22