L’École des cotesFrançais
Galway United v Shelbourne Dublin
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Galway United (Local)
Prévision 31.52%3.17cote équitable
EV +3.06%
Avantage +0.935%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.041%
avec la cote maximale 3.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.48%31.41%31.54%32.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.892.903.2737.74%34.58%34.48%30.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Shelbourne Dublin (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.59%2.59cote équitable
EV -4.69%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -3.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.18%38.67%38.60%40.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.402.4745.45%42.46%41.67%40.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.89%3.35cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.408%
Kelly -0.586%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.61%29.92%29.86%31.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.073.103.3034.48%32.62%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.48%EV +3.06%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.01%EV -7.00%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.51%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.742%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Everygame | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.32%E -3.96%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 12:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 12:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.08%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -4.69%E -1.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.07%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.03%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -1.35%E -0.408%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.97%E -2.73%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 16:54 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.97%E -2.73%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:34 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 18:18 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Neds | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.55%E -3.33%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.55%E -3.33%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 05:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 16:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.28%EV -15.10%E -6.87%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.29%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.91%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.38%EV -16.48%E -6.22%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.01%EV -15.10%E -6.87%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-10 18:22 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38% | 15.9% | 2026-04-10 18:22 |