La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Galway United v Shelbourne Dublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Galway United (Local)
Predicción 31.52%3.17momio equitativo
EV +3.06%
Ventaja +0.935%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.48%31.41%31.54%32.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.892.903.2737.74%34.58%34.48%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)
Predicción 38.59%2.59momio equitativo
EV -4.69%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -3.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.18%38.67%38.60%40.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.402.4745.45%42.46%41.67%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.89%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.408%
Kelly -0.586%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.61%29.92%29.86%31.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.073.103.3034.48%32.62%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.48%EV +3.06%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.01%EV -7.00%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.51%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.742%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Everygame | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.32%E -3.96%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 12:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 12:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.08%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -4.69%E -1.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.07%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.03%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -1.35%E -0.408%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.97%E -2.73%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 16:54 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.97%E -2.73%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:34 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 18:18 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Neds | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.55%E -3.33%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.55%E -3.33%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 05:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 16:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.28%EV -15.10%E -6.87%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.29%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.91%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.38%EV -16.48%E -6.22%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.01%EV -15.10%E -6.87%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-10 18:22 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38% | 15.9% | 2026-04-10 18:22 |