Language:English
Galway United v Dundalk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galway United (Local)
Prediction 34.82%2.87fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.898%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%34.80%34.83%35.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.662.682.8040.00%37.54%37.31%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundalk (Visit)
Prediction 38.65%2.59fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.78%38.68%38.66%39.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.362.352.5044.84%42.34%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.54%3.77fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.39%26.52%26.51%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.403.403.6134.72%29.45%29.41%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 34.82%; Dundalk (Visit): 38.65%; Draw: 26.54%. For Galway United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -2.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.51%E -0.898%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV -3.56%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -4.20%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 17:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 17:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 17:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.30%E -1.95%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.30%E -1.95%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -4.54%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -6.86%E -2.85%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.65%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -10.34%E -4.46%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-12 18:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.46%EV -8.43%E -3.21%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.46%EV -13.82%E -6.20%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-12 18:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-12 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-12 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-12 18:37 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -15.08%E -4.71%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -23.57%E -8.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |