مدرسة الاحتمالات

Galway United v Dundalk

البداية: 2026-06-12 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Galway United 0–1 Dundalk

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Galway United (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.82%2.87السعر العادل
EV -2.51%
الأفضلية -0.898%
Kelly -1.40%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.33%34.80%34.83%35.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.662.682.8040.00%37.54%37.31%35.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Dundalk (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.65%2.59السعر العادل
EV -3.38%
الأفضلية -1.35%
Kelly -2.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.78%38.68%38.66%39.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.232.362.352.5044.84%42.34%42.55%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.54%3.77السعر العادل
EV -4.20%
الأفضلية -1.16%
Kelly -1.61%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.39%26.52%26.51%29.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.403.403.6134.72%29.45%29.41%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.51%E -0.898%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 17:50
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV -3.56%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -4.20%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 18:30
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:49
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:49
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:49
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 17:49
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.30%E -1.95%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 18:30
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.30%E -1.95%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 18:29
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 18:30
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -4.54%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 18:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 18:30
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -6.86%E -2.85%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.65%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 18:40
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-12 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -10.34%E -4.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-12 17:50
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-12 17:50
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-12 17:50
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 18:30
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 18:20
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 18:20
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 18:40
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 18:28
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 18:30
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 18:30
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-12 18:29
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.46%EV -8.43%E -3.21%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.46%EV -13.82%E -6.20%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-12 17:50
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-12 17:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-12 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 18:39
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 18:39
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-12 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-12 18:29
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-12 18:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-12 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-12 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-12 18:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-12 18:37
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -15.08%E -4.71%K -6.85%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -23.57%E -8.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-12 18:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03%1.4%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03%1.4%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03%1.4%2026-06-12 18:30