La escuela de los momios

Galway United v Dundalk

Inicio: 2026-06-12 18:45 UTC

Final: Galway United 0–1 Dundalk

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Galway United (Local)

Predicción 34.82%2.87momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -0.898%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%34.80%34.83%35.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.662.682.8040.00%37.54%37.31%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundalk (Visitante)

Predicción 38.65%2.59momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.78%38.68%38.66%39.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.362.352.5044.84%42.34%42.55%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.54%3.77momio equitativo
EV -4.20%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.39%26.52%26.51%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.403.403.6134.72%29.45%29.41%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.51%E -0.898%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 17:50
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV -3.56%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -4.20%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 18:30
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:49
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:49
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:49
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 17:49
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.30%E -1.95%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 18:30
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.30%E -1.95%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 18:29
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 18:30
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -4.54%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 18:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 18:30
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -6.86%E -2.85%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.65%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 18:40
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-12 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -10.34%E -4.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-12 17:50
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-12 17:50
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-12 17:50
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 18:30
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 18:20
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 18:20
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 18:40
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 18:28
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 18:30
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 18:30
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-12 18:29
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.46%EV -8.43%E -3.21%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.46%EV -13.82%E -6.20%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-12 17:50
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-12 17:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-12 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 18:39
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 18:39
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-12 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-12 18:29
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-12 18:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-12 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-12 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-12 18:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-12 18:37
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -15.08%E -4.71%K -6.85%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -23.57%E -8.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-12 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03%1.4%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03%1.4%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03%1.4%2026-06-12 18:30