L’École des cotes

Galway United v Dundalk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-12 18:45 UTC

Score final : Galway United 0–1 Dundalk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 34.82%2.87cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -0.898%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%34.80%34.83%35.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.662.682.8040.00%37.54%37.31%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundalk (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.65%2.59cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.78%38.68%38.66%39.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.232.362.352.5044.84%42.34%42.55%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.54%3.77cote équitable
EV -4.20%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.39%26.52%26.51%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.403.403.6134.72%29.45%29.41%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.51%E -0.898%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 17:50
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV -3.56%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -4.20%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 18:30
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:49
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:49
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:50
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 17:49
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 17:49
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.30%E -1.95%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 18:30
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.30%E -1.95%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 18:29
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 18:30
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -4.54%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 18:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 18:30
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -6.86%E -2.85%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.65%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 18:40
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-12 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -10.34%E -4.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-12 17:50
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-12 17:50
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-12 17:50
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 18:30
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 18:20
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 18:20
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 18:40
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 18:28
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 18:30
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 18:30
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-12 18:29
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.46%EV -8.43%E -3.21%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.46%EV -13.82%E -6.20%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-12 17:50
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-12 17:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-12 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 18:39
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 18:39
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-12 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-12 18:29
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-12 18:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-12 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-12 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-12 18:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-12 18:37
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -15.08%E -4.71%K -6.85%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -23.57%E -8.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-12 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03%1.4%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03%1.4%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03%1.4%2026-06-12 18:30