Language:English
Galway United v Dundalk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galway United (Local)
Prediction 40.84%2.45fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.22%40.90%40.80%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.242.242.3547.85%44.74%44.64%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundalk (Visit)
Prediction 30.14%3.32fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.68%30.01%30.22%31.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.063.103.2035.09%32.64%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.02%3.45fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.09%28.99%30.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.113.103.3335.71%32.14%32.26%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 40.84%; Dundalk (Visit): 30.14%; Draw: 29.02%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.33, with an expected value of -3.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.16%EV -3.85%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.89%EV -3.36%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -4.15%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 19:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -11.08%E -3.76%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.08%E -3.76%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.49%E -4.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.49%E -4.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.84%E -5.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -18.74%E -6.69%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.98%E -5.03%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.98%E -5.03%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.20%E -5.67%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.20%E -5.67%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -14.10%E -4.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.12%EV -14.24%E -6.78%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.09%EV -16.71%E -5.82%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 41.70%EV -14.65%E -7.01%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.25%EV -13.52%E -4.54%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |