L’École des cotes

Galway United v Dundalk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 40.84%2.45cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -2.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.22%40.90%40.80%41.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.092.242.242.3547.85%44.74%44.64%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundalk (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.14%3.32cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.68%30.01%30.22%31.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.063.103.2035.09%32.64%32.26%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.02%3.45cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%29.09%28.99%30.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.113.103.3335.71%32.14%32.26%30.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.16%EV -3.85%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.89%EV -3.36%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:35
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:40
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:29
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:35
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:40
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 19:35
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:40
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:41
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:30
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:30
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -4.15%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:40
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:34
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:36
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:25
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -11.08%E -3.76%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.08%E -3.76%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-06 19:35
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-06 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.49%E -4.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-06 19:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.49%E -4.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-06 19:40
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 19:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:35
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.84%E -5.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -18.74%E -6.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-06 19:35
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.98%E -5.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.98%E -5.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.20%E -5.67%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.20%E -5.67%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -14.10%E -4.95%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-06 19:40
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.12%EV -14.24%E -6.78%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.09%EV -16.71%E -5.82%K -8.94%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 41.70%EV -14.65%E -7.01%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.25%EV -13.52%E -4.54%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-06 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%1.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-03-06 19:35