La escuela de los momios

Galway United v Dundalk

Inicio: 2026-03-06 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Galway United (Local)

Predicción 40.84%2.45momio equitativo
EV -4.03%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -2.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.22%40.90%40.80%41.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.092.242.242.3547.85%44.74%44.64%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundalk (Visitante)

Predicción 30.14%3.32momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.68%30.01%30.22%31.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.063.103.2035.09%32.64%32.26%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.02%3.45momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.09%28.99%30.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.113.103.3335.71%32.14%32.26%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.16%EV -3.85%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.89%EV -3.36%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:35
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:40
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:29
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:35
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:40
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 19:35
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:40
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:41
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:30
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:30
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -4.15%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:40
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:34
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:36
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:25
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -11.08%E -3.76%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.08%E -3.76%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-06 19:35
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-06 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.49%E -4.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-06 19:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.49%E -4.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-06 19:40
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 19:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:35
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.84%E -5.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -18.74%E -6.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-06 19:35
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.98%E -5.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.98%E -5.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.20%E -5.67%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.20%E -5.67%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -14.10%E -4.95%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-06 19:40
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.12%EV -14.24%E -6.78%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.09%EV -16.71%E -5.82%K -8.94%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 41.70%EV -14.65%E -7.01%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.25%EV -13.52%E -4.54%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-06 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%1.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-03-06 19:35