مدرسة الاحتمالات

Galway United v Dundalk

البداية: 2026-03-06 19:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Galway United (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.84%2.45السعر العادل
EV -4.03%
الأفضلية -1.72%
Kelly -2.99%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.22%40.90%40.80%41.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.092.242.242.3547.85%44.74%44.64%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Dundalk (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.14%3.32السعر العادل
EV -3.55%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -1.61%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.68%30.01%30.22%31.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.063.103.2035.09%32.64%32.26%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.02%3.45السعر العادل
EV -3.36%
الأفضلية -1.01%
Kelly -1.44%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.46%29.09%28.99%30.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.113.103.3335.71%32.14%32.26%30.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.16%EV -3.85%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.89%EV -3.36%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:35
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:40
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:29
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:35
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:40
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 19:35
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:40
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:41
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:30
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:30
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -4.15%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:40
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:34
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:36
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:25
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -11.08%E -3.76%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.08%E -3.76%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-06 19:35
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-06 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.49%E -4.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-06 19:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.49%E -4.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-06 19:40
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:25
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.93%E -4.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 23:24
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 19:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:35
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.84%E -5.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -13.19%E -4.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -18.74%E -6.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-06 19:35
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.98%E -5.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.98%E -5.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.20%E -5.67%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.20%E -5.67%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -14.10%E -4.95%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-06 19:40
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.12%EV -14.24%E -6.78%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.09%EV -16.71%E -5.82%K -8.94%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 41.70%EV -14.65%E -7.01%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.25%EV -13.52%E -4.54%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-06 19:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%1.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-03-06 19:35