Language:English
Galway United v Derry City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galway United (Local)
Prediction 33.35%3.00fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.436%
Kelly -0.658%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.69%33.32%33.44%34.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.762.752.9639.22%36.28%36.36%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derry City (Visit)
Prediction 35.03%2.85fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.94%35.18%35.07%37.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.562.602.7843.48%39.03%38.46%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.62%3.16fair odd
EV -0.394%
Edge -0.125%
Kelly -0.183%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.59%31.50%31.49%33.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.952.963.1538.17%33.91%33.73%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 33.35%; Derry City (Visit): 35.03%; Draw: 31.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -0.394%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.54%EV -1.29%E -0.436%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.43%EV -6.09%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.29%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.940%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.29%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.940%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.04%EV -6.82%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.25%EV -8.62%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -0.394%E -0.125%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.22%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -14.87%E -6.12%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -7.29%E -2.62%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.85%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.55%EV -6.40%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -15.93%E -6.64%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -15.93%E -6.64%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%EV -8.22%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.16%EV -9.29%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.67%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18%EV -5.77%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.16%EV -9.29%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.67%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18%EV -5.77%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -14.62%E -5.42%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -17.68%E -7.52%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -19.43%E -8.45%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -11.63%E -4.39%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.19%EV -12.29%E -4.67%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -8.93%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.19%EV -12.29%E -4.67%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -8.93%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.24%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.26%EV -9.25%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.24%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.26%EV -9.25%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.94%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -17.15%E -6.55%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.26%EV -13.30%E -5.11%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.30%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.45%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.31%EV -14.96%E -5.87%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.99%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 18:50 |