La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Galway United v Derry City
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Galway United (Casa)
Previsione 33.35%3.00quota equa
EV -1.29%
Vantaggio -0.436%
Kelly -0.658%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.96
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.69%33.32%33.44%34.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.762.752.9639.22%36.28%36.36%33.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Derry City (Trasferta)
Previsione 35.03%2.85quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -0.940%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.78
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.94%35.18%35.07%37.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.562.602.7843.48%39.03%38.46%35.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.62%3.16quota equa
EV -0.394%
Vantaggio -0.125%
Kelly -0.183%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.59%31.50%31.49%33.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.952.963.1538.17%33.91%33.73%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.54%EV -1.29%E -0.436%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.43%EV -6.09%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.29%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.940%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.29%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.940%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.04%EV -6.82%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.25%EV -8.62%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -0.394%E -0.125%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.22%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -14.87%E -6.12%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -7.29%E -2.62%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.85%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.55%EV -6.40%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -15.93%E -6.64%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -15.93%E -6.64%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%EV -8.22%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.16%EV -9.29%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.67%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18%EV -5.77%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.16%EV -9.29%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.67%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18%EV -5.77%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -14.62%E -5.42%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -17.68%E -7.52%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -19.43%E -8.45%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -11.63%E -4.39%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.19%EV -12.29%E -4.67%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -8.93%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Neds | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.19%EV -12.29%E -4.67%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -8.93%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.24%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.26%EV -9.25%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.24%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.26%EV -9.25%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.94%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -17.15%E -6.55%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.26%EV -13.30%E -5.11%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.30%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.45%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.31%EV -14.96%E -5.87%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.99%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 18:50 |