La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Galway United v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Galway United (Local)
Predicción 33.35%3.00momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.436%
Kelly -0.658%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.69%33.32%33.44%34.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.762.752.9639.22%36.28%36.36%33.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 35.03%2.85momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -0.940%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.94%35.18%35.07%37.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.562.602.7843.48%39.03%38.46%35.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.62%3.16momio equitativo
EV -0.394%
Ventaja -0.125%
Kelly -0.183%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.59%31.50%31.49%33.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.952.963.1538.17%33.91%33.73%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.54%EV -1.29%E -0.436%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.43%EV -6.09%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.29%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.940%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.29%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.940%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.04%EV -6.82%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.25%EV -8.62%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -0.394%E -0.125%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.22%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -14.87%E -6.12%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -7.29%E -2.62%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.85%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.55%EV -6.40%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -15.93%E -6.64%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -15.93%E -6.64%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%EV -8.22%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.16%EV -9.29%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.67%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18%EV -5.77%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.16%EV -9.29%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.67%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18%EV -5.77%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -14.62%E -5.42%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -17.68%E -7.52%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -19.43%E -8.45%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -11.63%E -4.39%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.19%EV -12.29%E -4.67%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -8.93%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Neds | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.19%EV -12.29%E -4.67%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -8.93%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.24%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.26%EV -9.25%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.24%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.26%EV -9.25%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.94%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -17.15%E -6.55%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.26%EV -13.30%E -5.11%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.30%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.45%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.31%EV -14.96%E -5.87%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.99%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 18:50 |