L’École des cotes

Galway United v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 33.35%3.00cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.436%
Kelly -0.658%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.69%33.32%33.44%34.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.762.752.9639.22%36.28%36.36%33.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.03%2.85cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.940%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.94%35.18%35.07%37.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.562.602.7843.48%39.03%38.46%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.62%3.16cote équitable
EV -0.394%
Avantage -0.125%
Kelly -0.183%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.59%31.50%31.49%33.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.952.963.1538.17%33.91%33.73%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.54%EV -1.29%E -0.436%K -0.658%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.43%EV -6.09%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 18:45
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.29%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.940%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.29%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.940%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 18:35
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 18:24
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.04%EV -6.82%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.25%EV -8.62%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:10
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -0.394%E -0.125%K -0.183%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 18:19
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 18:34
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:01
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:01
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:01
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:01
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:05
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:01
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:01
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:01
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:05
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:01
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -1.98%E -0.637%K -0.941%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:01
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.22%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -14.87%E -6.12%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 18:01
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 18:50
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -7.29%E -2.62%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.85%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.55%EV -6.40%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 18:09
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:55
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:50
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:55
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:45
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:45
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 18:45
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -15.93%E -6.64%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 18:05
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -15.93%E -6.64%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 18:05
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -8.29%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%EV -8.22%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-03 18:25
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.16%EV -9.29%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.67%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18%EV -5.77%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 18:10
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.16%EV -9.29%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.67%EV -6.12%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18%EV -5.77%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 18:09
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 18:55
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -14.62%E -5.42%K -8.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-03 18:25
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -17.68%E -7.52%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-03 18:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -19.43%E -8.45%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-03 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -11.63%E -4.39%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.19%EV -12.29%E -4.67%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -8.93%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 18:55
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.19%EV -12.29%E -4.67%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -8.93%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 18:55
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.24%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.26%EV -9.25%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.24%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.26%EV -9.25%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 18:55
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.94%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -17.15%E -6.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-03 18:25
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.26%EV -13.30%E -5.11%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.30%EV -14.17%E -5.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.45%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-03 18:35
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.31%EV -14.96%E -5.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.99%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -9.88%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-03 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28%0.8%2026-04-03 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28%0.8%2026-04-03 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28%0.8%2026-04-03 18:50