Language:English
Dundalk v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundalk (Local)
Prediction 61.59%1.62fair odd
EV -5.14%
Edge -3.34%
Kelly -9.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.24%61.56%61.60%62.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.501.5470.42%67.05%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 17.25%5.80fair odd
EV -0.786%
Edge -0.137%
Kelly -0.166%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.21%17.32%17.27%18.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.315.305.7521.28%18.83%18.87%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.15%4.73fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -0.752%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.25%21.12%21.13%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.264.254.6027.78%23.47%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundalk (Local): 61.59%; Waterford FC (Visit): 17.25%; Draw: 21.15%. For Waterford FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.75, with an expected value of -0.786%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.10%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.75%EV -1.48%E -0.259%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.16%EV -4.40%E -0.973%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-26 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -10.74%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-26 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.76%E -3.76%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -0.786%E -0.137%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -2.71%E -0.588%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -10.28%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-26 18:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -10.28%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -0.786%E -0.137%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -5.88%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -5.88%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-26 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -8.22%E -5.52%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -8.22%E -5.52%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-26 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -9.46%E -6.43%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%EV -10.07%E -6.90%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -18.90%E -4.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.93%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.03%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -23.86%E -6.63%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -12.54%E -8.83%K -29.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 18:40 |