La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Dundalk v Waterford FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundalk (Local)
Predicción 61.59%1.62momio equitativo
EV -5.14%
Ventaja -3.34%
Kelly -9.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.24%61.56%61.60%62.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.501.5470.42%67.05%66.67%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Waterford FC (Visitante)
Predicción 17.25%5.80momio equitativo
EV -0.786%
Ventaja -0.137%
Kelly -0.166%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.21%17.32%17.27%18.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.315.305.7521.28%18.83%18.87%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.15%4.73momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -0.588%
Kelly -0.752%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.25%21.12%21.13%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.264.254.6027.78%23.47%23.53%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.10%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.75%EV -1.48%E -0.259%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.16%EV -4.40%E -0.973%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-26 18:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -10.74%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-26 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.76%E -3.76%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -0.786%E -0.137%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -2.71%E -0.588%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 18:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -10.28%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-26 18:38 |
| BetUS | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -10.28%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -0.786%E -0.137%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -5.88%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -5.88%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-26 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -8.22%E -5.52%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -8.22%E -5.52%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-26 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -9.46%E -6.43%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%EV -10.07%E -6.90%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -18.90%E -4.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.93%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.03%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -23.86%E -6.63%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -12.54%E -8.83%K -29.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-26 18:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 18:40 |