L’École des cotes

Dundalk v Waterford FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-26 18:45 UTC

Score final : Dundalk 2–3 Waterford FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Prévision 61.59%1.62cote équitable
EV -5.14%
Avantage -3.34%
Kelly -9.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.24%61.56%61.60%62.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.501.5470.42%67.05%66.67%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waterford FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.25%5.80cote équitable
EV -0.786%
Avantage -0.137%
Kelly -0.166%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.21%17.32%17.27%18.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.315.305.7521.28%18.83%18.87%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.15%4.73cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -0.588%
Kelly -0.752%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.25%21.12%21.13%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.264.254.6027.78%23.47%23.53%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.10%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.75%EV -1.48%E -0.259%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.16%EV -4.40%E -0.973%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 18:30
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -10.74%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:40
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.76%E -3.76%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -0.786%E -0.137%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 17:50
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 18:39
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 18:39
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 17:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -2.71%E -0.588%K -0.752%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 18:09
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 18:19
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 18:39
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -10.28%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 18:38
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -10.28%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 18:39
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -0.786%E -0.137%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 18:10
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -5.88%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 17:49
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -5.88%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 17:49
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:09
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:09
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:10
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:09
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:10
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:10
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:09
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 17:50
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 17:49
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-26 18:29
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-26 17:59
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 18:09
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-26 17:49
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-26 18:20
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -8.22%E -5.52%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -8.22%E -5.52%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 17:49
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 17:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-26 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-26 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-26 18:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-26 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -9.46%E -6.43%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-26 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%EV -10.07%E -6.90%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -18.90%E -4.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-26 17:49
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 18:09
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.93%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.03%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-26 18:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-26 18:39
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-26 18:39
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-26 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -23.86%E -6.63%K -9.18%G +0.000%17.2%2026-06-26 17:49
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -12.54%E -8.83%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-26 18:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-06-26 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-06-26 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-06-26 18:20
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-06-26 18:40