La scuola delle quote

Dundalk v Waterford FC

Inizio: 2026-06-26 18:45 UTC

Finale: Dundalk 2–3 Waterford FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dundalk (Casa)

Previsione 61.59%1.62quota equa
EV -5.14%
Vantaggio -3.34%
Kelly -9.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.24%61.56%61.60%62.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.491.501.5470.42%67.05%66.67%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Waterford FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.25%5.80quota equa
EV -0.786%
Vantaggio -0.137%
Kelly -0.166%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.21%17.32%17.27%18.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.315.305.7521.28%18.83%18.87%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.15%4.73quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -0.588%
Kelly -0.752%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.25%21.12%21.13%23.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.264.254.6027.78%23.47%23.53%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.10%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.75%EV -1.48%E -0.259%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.16%EV -4.40%E -0.973%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 18:30
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -10.74%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:40
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.76%E -3.76%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -0.786%E -0.137%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 17:50
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 18:39
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 18:39
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 17:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -2.71%E -0.588%K -0.752%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 18:09
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 18:19
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 18:39
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -10.28%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 18:38
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -10.28%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 18:39
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -0.786%E -0.137%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 18:10
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -5.88%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 17:49
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -5.88%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 17:49
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:09
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:09
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:10
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:09
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:10
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:10
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:09
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 17:50
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 17:49
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-26 18:29
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-26 17:59
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 18:09
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-26 17:49
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-26 18:20
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -8.22%E -5.52%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -8.22%E -5.52%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 17:49
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 17:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-26 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-26 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-26 18:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-26 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -9.46%E -6.43%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-26 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%EV -10.07%E -6.90%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -18.90%E -4.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-26 17:49
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 18:09
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.93%EV -10.69%E -7.37%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.03%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-26 18:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-26 18:39
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-26 18:39
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-26 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.30%E -7.85%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -23.86%E -6.63%K -9.18%G +0.000%17.2%2026-06-26 17:49
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -12.54%E -8.83%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-26 18:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-06-26 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-06-26 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-06-26 18:20
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-06-26 18:40