The School of Odds

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers

2026-07-31 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

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Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Prediction 62.33%1.60fair odd
EV -6.50%
Edge -4.34%
Kelly -13.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.12%62.33%62.33%62.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.471.5071%69%68%67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sligo Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 16.34%6.12fair odd
EV -5.23%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.76%16.34%16.34%18.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.605.585.785.8022%18%17%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.33%4.69fair odd
EV -7.22%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.23%21.33%21.33%22.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.904.234.304.3526%24%23%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.45%EV -7.68%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:35
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -7.13%E -4.78%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.14%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.22%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 18:55
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -7.13%E -4.78%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.14%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.22%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 18:55
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.37%E -5.70%K -17.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -5.23%E -0.902%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.37%E -5.70%K -17.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -5.23%E -0.902%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.37%E -5.70%K -17.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -5.23%E -0.902%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.37%E -5.70%K -17.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -5.23%E -0.902%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.37%E -5.70%K -17.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -5.23%E -0.902%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.37%E -5.70%K -17.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -5.23%E -0.902%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.37%E -5.70%K -17.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -5.23%E -0.902%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.37%E -5.70%K -17.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -5.23%E -0.902%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.37%E -5.70%K -17.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -5.23%E -0.902%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.37%E -5.70%K -17.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -5.23%E -0.902%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.92%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -6.05%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.07%EV -8.50%E -1.52%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 18:55
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.07%EV -8.50%E -1.52%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.95%EV -10.87%E -7.60%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.79%EV -19.94%E -4.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.26%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-24 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 60.84%EV -12.11%E -8.59%K -29.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -18.31%E -3.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-24 18:54
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -10.14%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.12%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.30%EV -24.84%E -5.40%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.58%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-24 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.