La escuela de los momios

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers

2026-07-31 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Resultado del partido

35 corredores (8 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Predicción 62.58%1.60momio equitativo
EV -5.50%
Ventaja -3.64%
Kelly -10.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.28%62.63%62.55%64.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.471.5171.43%68.33%68.03%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sligo Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 16.59%6.03momio equitativo
EV -0.456%
Ventaja -0.076%
Kelly -0.091%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.76%16.61%16.61%18.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.525.606.0021.74%18.12%17.86%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.83%4.80momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.225%
Kelly -0.285%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.00%20.76%20.85%21.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.324.304.7525.00%23.15%23.26%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 62.40%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.98%EV -7.92%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.62%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 20:20
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.42%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.54%EV -6.10%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.04%EV -7.32%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 20:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -12.07%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.32%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 20:20
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -12.07%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.32%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 20:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.08%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -13.73%E -2.64%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 00:51
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -17.05%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 20:20
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -6.26%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -7.32%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:20
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.38%E -4.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.456%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.07%E -0.225%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:19
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.65%EV -7.38%E -4.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -12.90%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -9.40%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 19:50
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -3.77%E -0.651%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -3.77%E -0.651%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -3.77%E -0.651%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -3.77%E -0.651%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -3.77%E -0.651%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -3.77%E -0.651%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -3.77%E -0.651%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -3.77%E -0.651%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -3.77%E -0.651%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -3.77%E -0.651%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 18:55
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 20:20
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 20:20
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 63.06%EV -8.63%E -5.91%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.60%E -0.801%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 19:20
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -9.26%E -6.38%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -5.43%E -0.953%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 19:19
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.23%EV -9.26%E -6.38%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.12%EV -18.71%E -3.82%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 20:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.92%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -4.60%E -0.801%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -11.48%E -2.70%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.07%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 18:55
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.07%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 18:55
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 19:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.05%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 19:26
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 62.77%EV -11.13%E -7.84%K -26.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.51%EV -10.41%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.34%EV -11.13%E -7.84%K -26.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -17.05%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.24%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-25 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 60.28%EV -11.76%E -8.34%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.48%EV -23.68%E -5.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.25%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-25 20:20
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -12.39%E -8.85%K -30.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 18:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.