Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-31 18:46 UTC

Score final : Dundalk 1–1 Sligo Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dundalk (Local)

Prévision 61.43%1.63cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -7.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.78%61.37%61.33%63.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.501.501.5671.43%66.83%66.67%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sligo Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.08%5.85cote équitable
EV +2.50%
Avantage +0.416%
Kelly +0.500%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.44%17.05%17.24%18.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.425.406.0020.83%18.46%18.52%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.49%4.65cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -0.737%
Kelly -0.948%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.78%21.59%21.43%22.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.224.204.5025.64%23.72%23.81%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dundalk (Local) : 61.43% ; Sligo Rovers (Visiteur) : 17.08% ; Match nul : 21.49%. Pour Sligo Rovers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.85. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +2.50%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -3.32%E -0.737%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 17:39
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:04
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:04
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -10.92%E -7.53%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -0.919%E -0.158%K -0.191%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.01%EV -11.54%E -8.01%K -26.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -0.919%E -0.158%K -0.191%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -8.69%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.54%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.64%EV -1.43%E -0.248%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -5.47%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -9.08%E -6.14%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.54%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -9.08%E -6.14%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.69%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -12.15%E -8.50%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-31 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -12.15%E -8.50%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-31 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.84%EV -14.00%E -10.00%K -34.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -4.34%E -0.774%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -11.91%E -2.91%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-31 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.47%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -7.24%E -4.79%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.47%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -9.08%E -6.14%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -8.69%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -11.54%E -8.01%K -26.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 15:59
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.20%EV -7.24%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.56%EV -11.05%E -2.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.75%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 18:43
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.85%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -7.75%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 18:39
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -9.46%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -9.46%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -9.46%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 18:20
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -9.46%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -9.46%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 18:15
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.97%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 18:19
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.91%E -2.91%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -12.02%E -2.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -6.54%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 17:35
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -12.02%E -2.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -6.54%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 17:34
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -5.47%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 18:44
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-31 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 18:04
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 18:39
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-31 17:19
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-31 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-31 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.51%EV -10.92%E -7.53%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-31 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.31%EV -8.47%E -5.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.03%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.21%E -4.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-31 18:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:39
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.07%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -11.91%E -2.91%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-07-31 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-07-31 18:40
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.67%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%1.6%2026-07-31 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-07-31 18:45