Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers

Início: 2026-07-31 18:46 UTC

Final: Dundalk 1–1 Sligo Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundalk (Local)

Previsão 61.43%1.63odd justa
EV -4.17%
Vantagem -2.67%
Kelly -7.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.78%61.37%61.33%63.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.501.501.5671.43%66.83%66.67%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sligo Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 17.08%5.85odd justa
EV +2.50%
Vantagem +0.416%
Kelly +0.500%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.44%17.05%17.24%18.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.425.406.0020.83%18.46%18.52%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.49%4.65odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -0.737%
Kelly -0.948%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.78%21.59%21.43%22.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.224.204.5025.64%23.72%23.81%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dundalk (Local): 61.43%; Sligo Rovers (Visitante): 17.08%; Empate: 21.49%. Para Sligo Rovers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.85. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.50%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -3.32%E -0.737%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 17:39
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:04
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +2.50%E +0.416%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:04
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -10.92%E -7.53%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -0.919%E -0.158%K -0.191%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.01%EV -11.54%E -8.01%K -26.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -0.919%E -0.158%K -0.191%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -8.69%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.54%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.64%EV -1.43%E -0.248%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -5.47%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -9.08%E -6.14%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.54%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -9.08%E -6.14%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.69%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -12.15%E -8.50%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-31 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -12.15%E -8.50%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-31 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.84%EV -14.00%E -10.00%K -34.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -4.34%E -0.774%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -11.91%E -2.91%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-31 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.47%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -7.24%E -4.79%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.47%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -9.08%E -6.14%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -8.69%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -11.54%E -8.01%K -26.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 15:59
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.20%EV -7.24%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.56%EV -11.05%E -2.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.75%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 18:43
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.85%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -7.75%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 18:39
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -9.46%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -9.46%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -9.46%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 18:20
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -9.46%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -9.46%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 18:15
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.97%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 18:19
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.91%E -2.91%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -12.02%E -2.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -6.54%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 17:35
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -12.02%E -2.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -6.54%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 17:34
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -5.47%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 18:44
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-31 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 18:04
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 18:39
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-31 17:19
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-31 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-31 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.51%EV -10.92%E -7.53%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-31 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.31%EV -8.47%E -5.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.03%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.21%E -4.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-31 18:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:39
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.07%EV -9.69%E -6.60%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -11.91%E -2.91%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-07-31 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-07-31 18:40
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.67%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%1.6%2026-07-31 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-07-31 18:45