Language:English
Dundalk v Shelbourne Dublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundalk (Local)
Prediction 39.53%2.53fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.79%39.60%39.52%41.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.302.4247.62%43.18%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)
Prediction 34.14%2.93fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.826%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.85%34.13%34.18%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.702.702.8639.22%37.03%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.33%3.80fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.454%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.27%26.30%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.503.7531.25%28.96%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundalk (Local): 39.53%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 34.14%; Draw: 26.33%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 15:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 15:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.66%EV -2.36%E -0.826%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.23%EV -3.35%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.25%E -0.333%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -6.32%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -5.78%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.51%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 15:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 15:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.51%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-18 14:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.56%E -0.693%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -11.86%E -5.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.54%EV -14.23%E -6.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.65%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -15.73%E -4.92%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.65%EV -16.99%E -8.09%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.48%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.87%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |