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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Dundalk v Shelbourne Dublin

Inizio: 2026-09-18 18:45 UTC

Finale: Dundalk 2–3 Shelbourne Dublin

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Dundalk (Casa)

Previsione 39.53%2.53quota equa
EV -4.35%
Vantaggio -1.80%
Kelly -3.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.79%39.60%39.52%41.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.322.302.4247.62%43.18%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.14%2.93quota equa
EV -2.36%
Vantaggio -0.826%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.85%34.13%34.18%34.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.702.702.8639.22%37.03%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.33%3.80quota equa
EV -1.25%
Vantaggio -0.333%
Kelly -0.454%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.22%26.27%26.30%27.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.453.503.7531.25%28.96%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Dundalk (Casa): 39.53%; Shelbourne Dublin (Trasferta): 34.14%; Pareggio: 26.33%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.80. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.75, con un valore atteso del -1.25%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:10
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:08
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:09
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.66%EV -2.36%E -0.826%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.23%EV -3.35%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.25%E -0.333%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:09
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -6.32%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -5.78%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:23
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:09
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 15:14
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.51%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 15:09
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 15:09
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.51%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 15:15
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 15:15
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 15:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 14:59
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.56%E -0.693%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:35
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -11.86%E -5.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.54%EV -14.23%E -6.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.65%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -15.73%E -4.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.65%EV -16.99%E -8.09%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.48%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.87%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10