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StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)
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Dundalk v Shelbourne Dublin

Matchstart: 2026-09-18 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Dundalk 2–3 Shelbourne Dublin

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Dundalk (Hemma)

Prognos 39.53%2.53rättvist odds
EV -4.35%
Fördel -1.80%
Kelly -3.06%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.79%39.60%39.52%41.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.322.302.4247.62%43.18%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Borta)

Prognos 34.14%2.93rättvist odds
EV -2.36%
Fördel -0.826%
Kelly -1.27%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.86

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.85%34.13%34.18%34.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.552.702.702.8639.22%37.03%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.33%3.80rättvist odds
EV -1.25%
Fördel -0.333%
Kelly -0.454%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.22%26.27%26.30%27.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.453.503.7531.25%28.96%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Dundalk (Hemma): 39.53%; Shelbourne Dublin (Borta): 34.14%; Oavgjort: 26.33%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.80. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.75, med väntevärdet -1.25%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:10
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:08
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:09
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.66%EV -2.36%E -0.826%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.23%EV -3.35%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.25%E -0.333%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:09
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -6.32%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -5.78%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:23
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:09
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 15:14
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.51%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 15:09
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 15:09
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.51%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 15:15
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 15:15
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 15:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 14:59
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.56%E -0.693%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:35
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -11.86%E -5.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.54%EV -14.23%E -6.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.65%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -15.73%E -4.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.65%EV -16.99%E -8.09%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.48%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.87%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 15:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10