L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Dundalk v Shelbourne Dublin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 18:45 UTC

Score final : Dundalk 2–3 Shelbourne Dublin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dundalk (Local)

Prévision 39.53%2.53cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -3.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.79%39.60%39.52%41.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.322.302.4247.62%43.18%43.48%41.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.14%2.93cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.826%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.85%34.13%34.18%34.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.702.702.8639.22%37.03%37.04%34.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.33%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.333%
Kelly -0.454%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%26.27%26.30%27.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.453.503.7531.25%28.96%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dundalk (Local) : 39.53% ; Shelbourne Dublin (Visiteur) : 34.14% ; Match nul : 26.33%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.80. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.75, pour une espérance de -1.25% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:10
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:08
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:09
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.66%EV -2.36%E -0.826%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.23%EV -3.35%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.25%E -0.333%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:09
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -6.32%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -5.78%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:23
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:09
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 15:14
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.51%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 15:09
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 15:09
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.51%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 15:15
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 15:15
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 15:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 14:59
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.56%E -0.693%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:35
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -11.86%E -5.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.54%EV -14.23%E -6.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.65%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -15.73%E -4.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.65%EV -16.99%E -8.09%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.48%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.87%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10