Language:English
Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundalk (Local)
Prediction 33.22%3.01fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.798%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%33.30%33.09%34.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.732.752.9439.22%36.58%36.36%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shamrock Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 40.78%2.45fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.64%40.64%40.83%41.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.282.4147.62%43.82%43.86%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.01%3.84fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.658%
Kelly -0.897%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%26.06%26.07%28.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.463.453.7533.33%28.87%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundalk (Local): 33.22%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 40.78%; Draw: 26.01%. For Shamrock Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.41, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.81%EV -2.35%E -0.798%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -10.53%E -3.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.47%E -0.658%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.84%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.84%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -6.33%E -2.25%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -6.33%E -2.25%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.36%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -1.73%E -0.718%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.72%EV -2.73%E -0.729%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -2.14%E -0.890%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.47%E -0.658%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -14.37%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.98%E -4.52%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.98%E -4.95%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.64%E -5.25%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.33%E -5.74%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -13.64%E -5.25%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -21.97%E -7.32%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -15.30%E -6.00%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -15.47%E -4.76%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -15.30%E -6.00%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.17%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |