La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundalk (Local)
Predicción 33.22%3.01momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.798%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.81%33.30%33.09%34.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.732.752.9439.22%36.58%36.36%34.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 40.78%2.45momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.718%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.64%40.64%40.83%41.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.282.4147.62%43.82%43.86%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.01%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.658%
Kelly -0.897%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.66%26.06%26.07%28.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.453.7533.33%28.87%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.81%EV -2.35%E -0.798%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -10.53%E -3.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.47%E -0.658%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.84%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.84%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| NordicBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -6.33%E -2.25%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Betsson | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -6.33%E -2.25%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.36%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -1.73%E -0.718%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.72%EV -2.73%E -0.729%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 18:49 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:49 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -2.14%E -0.890%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.47%E -0.658%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -14.37%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.98%E -4.52%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.98%E -4.95%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.64%E -5.25%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.33%E -5.74%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -13.64%E -5.25%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -21.97%E -7.32%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -15.30%E -6.00%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -15.47%E -4.76%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -15.30%E -6.00%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.17%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 18:56 |