La scuola delle quote

Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers

Inizio: 2026-05-15 19:00 UTC

Finale: Dundalk 1–0 Shamrock Rovers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dundalk (Casa)

Previsione 33.22%3.01quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -0.798%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.81%33.30%33.09%34.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.732.752.9439.22%36.58%36.36%34.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shamrock Rovers (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.78%2.45quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -0.718%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.64%40.64%40.83%41.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.282.282.4147.62%43.82%43.86%41.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.01%3.84quota equa
EV -2.47%
Vantaggio -0.658%
Kelly -0.897%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.66%26.06%26.07%28.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.463.453.7533.33%28.87%28.99%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.81%EV -2.35%E -0.798%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -10.53%E -3.06%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 18:50
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.47%E -0.658%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.84%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:55
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.84%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:56
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:56
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -6.33%E -2.25%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:55
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -6.33%E -2.25%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:56
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.36%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -1.73%E -0.718%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.72%EV -2.73%E -0.729%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 18:50
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:56
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:56
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:55
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:55
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:50
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 18:49
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:55
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:55
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:56
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 18:49
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-15 18:50
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:56
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:56
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:56
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:55
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -2.14%E -0.890%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:40
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.47%E -0.658%K -0.897%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:50
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 18:56
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -14.37%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-15 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.98%E -4.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-15 18:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.98%E -4.95%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.64%E -5.25%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.33%E -5.74%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-15 18:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -13.64%E -5.25%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -21.97%E -7.32%K -10.99%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-15 18:50
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -15.30%E -6.00%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -15.47%E -4.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-15 18:40
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -15.30%E -6.00%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.17%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-15 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-15 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-15 18:56
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-05-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-05-15 18:56