مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers

البداية: 2026-05-15 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Dundalk 1–0 Shamrock Rovers

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dundalk (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.22%3.01السعر العادل
EV -2.35%
الأفضلية -0.798%
Kelly -1.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.81%33.30%33.09%34.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.732.752.9439.22%36.58%36.36%34.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shamrock Rovers (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.78%2.45السعر العادل
EV -1.73%
الأفضلية -0.718%
Kelly -1.23%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.64%40.64%40.83%41.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.282.282.4147.62%43.82%43.86%41.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.01%3.84السعر العادل
EV -2.47%
الأفضلية -0.658%
Kelly -0.897%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.66%26.06%26.07%28.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.463.453.7533.33%28.87%28.99%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.81%EV -2.35%E -0.798%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -10.53%E -3.06%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 18:50
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.47%E -0.658%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.84%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:55
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.84%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:56
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:56
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -6.33%E -2.25%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:55
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -6.33%E -2.25%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:56
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.36%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -1.73%E -0.718%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.72%EV -2.73%E -0.729%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 18:50
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:56
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:56
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:55
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:55
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:50
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 18:49
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:55
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:55
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:56
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 18:49
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-15 18:50
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:56
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:56
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:56
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:55
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -2.14%E -0.890%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:40
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.47%E -0.658%K -0.897%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:50
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 18:56
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -14.37%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-15 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.98%E -4.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.64%E -4.81%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-15 18:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.98%E -4.95%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.64%E -5.25%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.33%E -5.74%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-15 18:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -13.64%E -5.25%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -21.97%E -7.32%K -10.99%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-15 18:50
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -15.30%E -6.00%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -15.47%E -4.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-15 18:40
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -15.30%E -6.00%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.17%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-15 18:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-15 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-15 18:56
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-05-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-05-15 18:56