Language:English
Dundalk v Galway United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundalk (Local)
Prediction 50.38%1.98fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -5.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.05%50.57%50.40%53.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.821.8958.82%55.38%54.95%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Galway United (Visit)
Prediction 23.16%4.32fair odd
EV +0.522%
Edge +0.120%
Kelly +0.156%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.17%23.09%23.11%25.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.883.904.3428.57%25.78%25.64%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.46%3.78fair odd
EV -0.781%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.284%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.49%26.33%26.49%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.443.453.7532.26%29.10%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundalk (Local): 50.38%; Galway United (Visit): 23.16%; Draw: 26.46%. For Galway United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.522%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.82%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.13%EV +0.522%E +0.120%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -14.35%E -8.44%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -0.404%E -0.094%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -7.30%E -3.97%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -3.88%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.04%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 18:43 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:42 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.26%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.85%EV -9.21%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.13%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.15%EV -10.83%E -6.12%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.29%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.09%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.72%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -14.30%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.77%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.62%EV -12.84%E -7.42%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -15.46%E -4.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.08%EV -14.35%E -8.44%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.32%EV -15.46%E -4.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.60%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.54%EV -12.34%E -7.09%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.52%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -12.84%E -7.42%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -17.98%E -5.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -18.93%E -5.41%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |