La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Dundalk v Galway United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundalk (Local)
Predicción 50.38%1.98momio equitativo
EV -4.78%
Ventaja -2.53%
Kelly -5.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.05%50.57%50.40%53.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.821.8958.82%55.38%54.95%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Galway United (Visitante)
Predicción 23.16%4.32momio equitativo
EV +0.522%
Ventaja +0.120%
Kelly +0.156%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.17%23.09%23.11%25.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.883.904.3428.57%25.78%25.64%23.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.46%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.781%
Ventaja -0.208%
Kelly -0.284%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.49%26.33%26.49%27.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.443.453.7532.26%29.10%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.82%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.13%EV +0.522%E +0.120%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -14.35%E -8.44%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -0.404%E -0.094%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -7.30%E -3.97%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -3.88%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.04%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 18:43 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:42 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.26%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.85%EV -9.21%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.13%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.15%EV -10.83%E -6.12%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.29%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.09%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.72%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -14.30%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.77%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.62%EV -12.84%E -7.42%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -15.46%E -4.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.08%EV -14.35%E -8.44%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.32%EV -15.46%E -4.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.60%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.54%EV -12.34%E -7.09%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.52%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -12.84%E -7.42%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -17.98%E -5.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -18.93%E -5.41%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-17 18:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |