L’École des cotes

Dundalk v Galway United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 18:47 UTC

Score final : Dundalk 2–1 Galway United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Prévision 50.38%1.98cote équitable
EV -4.78%
Avantage -2.53%
Kelly -5.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.05%50.57%50.40%53.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.811.821.8958.82%55.38%54.95%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galway United (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.16%4.32cote équitable
EV +0.522%
Avantage +0.120%
Kelly +0.156%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.17%23.09%23.11%25.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.883.904.3428.57%25.78%25.64%23.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.46%3.78cote équitable
EV -0.781%
Avantage -0.208%
Kelly -0.284%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.49%26.33%26.49%27.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.453.7532.26%29.10%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.82%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.13%EV +0.522%E +0.120%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 18:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -14.35%E -8.44%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -0.404%E -0.094%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 18:44
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -7.30%E -3.97%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -3.88%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:44
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.04%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 18:43
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 18:44
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 18:44
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:45
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:45
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:42
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:40
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:45
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:45
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:44
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:44
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:45
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.26%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.85%EV -9.21%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:44
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:44
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:44
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:45
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:45
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:44
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 18:44
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 18:45
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-17 18:45
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.13%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:45
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:44
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:44
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:44
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:44
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:44
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:44
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 50.15%EV -10.83%E -6.12%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-17 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.29%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-17 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.09%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-17 18:45
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 18:44
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:44
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 18:45
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.72%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -14.30%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.77%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-17 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.62%EV -12.84%E -7.42%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -15.46%E -4.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-17 18:45
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 50.08%EV -14.35%E -8.44%K -20.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.32%EV -15.46%E -4.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.60%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-17 18:45
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 49.54%EV -12.34%E -7.09%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.52%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-17 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -12.84%E -7.42%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -17.98%E -5.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-17 18:44
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -18.93%E -5.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-17 18:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-04-17 18:45
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-04-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%4.8%2026-04-17 18:45