La scuola delle quote

Dundalk v Galway United

Inizio: 2026-04-17 18:47 UTC

Finale: Dundalk 2–1 Galway United

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dundalk (Casa)

Previsione 50.38%1.98quota equa
EV -4.78%
Vantaggio -2.53%
Kelly -5.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.05%50.57%50.40%53.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.811.821.8958.82%55.38%54.95%52.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Galway United (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.16%4.32quota equa
EV +0.522%
Vantaggio +0.120%
Kelly +0.156%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.17%23.09%23.11%25.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.883.904.3428.57%25.78%25.64%23.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.46%3.78quota equa
EV -0.781%
Vantaggio -0.208%
Kelly -0.284%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.49%26.33%26.49%27.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.443.453.7532.26%29.10%28.99%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.82%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.13%EV +0.522%E +0.120%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 18:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -14.35%E -8.44%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -0.404%E -0.094%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 18:44
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -7.30%E -3.97%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -3.88%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:44
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.04%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 18:43
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 18:44
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 18:44
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.35%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:45
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:45
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:42
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:40
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:45
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:45
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:44
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:44
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -8.51%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:45
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.26%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.85%EV -9.21%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:44
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:44
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:44
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:45
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:45
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:44
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 18:44
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 18:45
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-17 18:45
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.13%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.67%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:45
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:44
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:44
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:44
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:44
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:44
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:44
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 50.15%EV -10.83%E -6.12%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-17 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.29%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-17 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.09%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-17 18:45
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 18:44
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.781%E -0.208%K -0.284%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:44
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 18:45
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.14%E -3.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.72%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -14.30%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.77%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-17 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.62%EV -12.84%E -7.42%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -15.46%E -4.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-17 18:45
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 50.08%EV -14.35%E -8.44%K -20.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.32%EV -15.46%E -4.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.60%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-17 18:45
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 49.54%EV -12.34%E -7.09%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.52%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-17 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -12.84%E -7.42%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -17.98%E -5.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-17 18:44
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -18.93%E -5.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-17 18:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-04-17 18:45
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-04-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%4.8%2026-04-17 18:45