Language:English
Dundalk v Galway United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundalk (Local)
Prediction 49.38%2.03fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.79%49.42%49.26%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.841.831.9558.82%54.24%54.64%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Galway United (Visit)
Prediction 25.27%3.96fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -0.837%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.17%25.27%25.25%26.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.8329.41%27.59%27.78%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.35%3.95fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -0.846%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.49%25.31%25.49%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.623.8530.30%27.87%27.62%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundalk (Local): 49.38%; Galway United (Visit): 25.27%; Draw: 25.35%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -2.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.07%EV -3.20%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.68%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -4.20%E -2.17%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -9.77%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -6.97%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 18:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 18:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 18:32 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.41%E -0.626%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 15:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -8.16%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.35%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 15:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.17%EV -10.13%E -5.57%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.24%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -16.35%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -12.11%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.39%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.68%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.36%EV -16.06%E -9.44%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.46%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-15 00:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |