Idioma:Español
Dundalk v Galway United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundalk (Local)
Predicción 49.38%2.03momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -3.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.79%49.42%49.26%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.841.831.9558.82%54.24%54.64%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Galway United (Visitante)
Predicción 25.27%3.96momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -0.837%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.17%25.27%25.25%26.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.633.603.8329.41%27.59%27.78%26.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.35%3.95momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.626%
Kelly -0.846%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.49%25.31%25.49%26.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.593.623.8530.30%27.87%27.62%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Dundalk (Local): 49.38%; Galway United (Visitante): 25.27%; Empate: 25.35%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.95. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.85, con un valor esperado de -2.41%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.07%EV -3.20%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.68%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -4.20%E -2.17%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -9.77%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -6.97%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 18:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 18:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 18:32 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.41%E -0.626%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 15:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -8.16%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.35%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 15:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.17%EV -10.13%E -5.57%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.24%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -16.35%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -12.11%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.39%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.68%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.36%EV -16.06%E -9.44%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.46%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-15 00:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |