Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundalk v Galway United

Início: 2026-08-21 18:45 UTC

Final: Dundalk 1–2 Galway United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundalk (Local)

Previsão 49.38%2.03odd justa
EV -3.71%
Vantagem -1.90%
Kelly -3.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.79%49.42%49.26%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.841.831.9558.82%54.24%54.64%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Galway United (Visitante)

Previsão 25.27%3.96odd justa
EV -3.20%
Vantagem -0.837%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.17%25.27%25.25%26.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.633.603.8329.41%27.59%27.78%26.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.35%3.95odd justa
EV -2.41%
Vantagem -0.626%
Kelly -0.846%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.49%25.31%25.49%26.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.593.623.8530.30%27.87%27.62%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dundalk (Local): 49.38%; Galway United (Visitante): 25.27%; Empate: 25.35%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.95. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.85, com valor esperado de -2.41%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.07%EV -3.20%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.68%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 18:35
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -4.20%E -2.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -9.77%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -6.97%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 18:33
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 18:30
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 18:28
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 18:32
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.41%E -0.626%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 15:15
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 18:39
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 15:13
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-21 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -8.16%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 18:19
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.35%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-21 18:35
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 15:33
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 18:19
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 15:35
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.17%EV -10.13%E -5.57%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 15:15
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 18:04
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 18:04
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 18:04
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 18:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 18:04
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.24%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -16.35%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-21 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -12.11%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.39%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 18:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.68%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-21 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-21 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-21 18:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.36%EV -16.06%E -9.44%K -22.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.46%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-15 00:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-08-21 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-08-21 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-08-21 18:35
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-08-21 18:40