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Dundalk v Galway United
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Dundalk (Хозяева)
Прогноз 49.38%2.03справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.71%
Преимущество -1.90%
Kelly -3.91%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.79%49.42%49.26%51.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.841.831.9558.82%54.24%54.64%51.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Galway United (Гости)
Прогноз 25.27%3.96справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.20%
Преимущество -0.837%
Kelly -1.13%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.17%25.27%25.25%26.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.633.603.8329.41%27.59%27.78%26.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.35%3.95справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.41%
Преимущество -0.626%
Kelly -0.846%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.49%25.31%25.49%26.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.593.623.8530.30%27.87%27.62%25.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Dundalk (Хозяева): 49.38%; Galway United (Гости): 25.27%; Ничья: 25.35%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.95. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.85, математическое ожидание — -2.41%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.07%EV -3.20%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.68%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -4.20%E -2.17%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -9.77%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -6.97%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 18:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 18:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 18:32 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.41%E -0.626%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 15:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -8.16%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.35%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 15:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.17%EV -10.13%E -5.57%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.24%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -16.35%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -12.11%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.39%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.68%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.36%EV -16.06%E -9.44%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.46%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-15 00:34 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |