The School of Odds

Dundalk v Drogheda United

2026-07-10 18:45 — League of Ireland

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (11 in analysis)

Option 1: Dundalk (Local)

1.4967.11%Min
1.5763.60%Mean
1.5763.69%Median
1.6460.98%Max
56.17%1.780Min
59.30%1.686Max
57.80%1.730Mean
57.80%1.730Median
57.84%1.729IQM
57.82%1.729Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.64 under the IQM model: 57.84%

EV -5.14%Edge -3.13%Kelly -8.03%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Drogheda United (Visit)

4.0025.00%Min
4.7221.17%Mean
4.7521.05%Median
5.1019.61%Max
18.14%5.513Min
21.06%4.748Max
19.45%5.142Mean
19.42%5.149Median
19.43%5.148IQM
19.44%5.144Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.10 under the IQM model: 19.43%

EV -0.926%Edge -0.182%Kelly -0.226%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.7027.03%Min
4.0124.93%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.2023.81%Max
22.18%4.509Min
23.65%4.228Max
22.75%4.395Mean
22.78%4.390Median
22.73%4.399IQM
22.74%4.398Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.20 under the IQM model: 22.73%

EV -4.52%Edge -1.08%Kelly -1.41%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDundalk (Local) ▼Drogheda United (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.19%EV -5.14% E -3.13% K -8.03% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 19.09%EV -2.87% E -0.574% K -0.717% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.72%EV -4.52% E -1.08% K -1.41% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 16:35
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35% NM 57.78%EV -5.72% E -3.51% K -9.08% G +0.000%4.77I 20.96% NM 19.74%EV -7.34% E -1.54% K -1.95% G +0.000%4.19I 23.87% NM 22.48%EV -4.75% E -1.13% K -1.49% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:15
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35% NM 56.51%EV -5.72% E -3.51% K -9.08% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.47%EV -12.58% E -2.80% K -3.59% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.03%EV -9.07% E -2.27% K -3.02% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 13:25
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35% NM 56.51%EV -5.72% E -3.51% K -9.08% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.47%EV -12.58% E -2.80% K -3.59% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.03%EV -9.07% E -2.27% K -3.02% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 13:25
1xBet1.62I 61.73% NM 57.86%EV -6.30% E -3.89% K -10.16% G +0.000%4.73I 21.14% NM 19.82%EV -8.11% E -1.72% K -2.18% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.32%EV -4.52% E -1.08% K -1.41% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:14
William Hill1.62I 61.73% NM 56.93%EV -6.30% E -3.89% K -10.16% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.42%EV -7.72% E -1.63% K -2.06% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.65%EV -11.34% E -2.91% K -3.91% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 07:30
BetMGM1.61I 62.11% NM 57.06%EV -6.88% E -4.27% K -11.27% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.97%EV -10.64% E -2.31% K -2.96% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.97%EV -9.07% E -2.27% K -3.02% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 22:15
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50% NM 58.33%EV -7.45% E -4.66% K -12.42% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.44%EV -6.75% E -1.41% K -1.78% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.22%EV -4.52% E -1.08% K -1.41% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.21%EV -7.45% E -4.66% K -12.42% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.61%EV -7.72% E -1.63% K -2.06% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.18%EV -4.52% E -1.08% K -1.41% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 16:35
NordicBet1.60I 62.50% NM 57.74%EV -7.45% E -4.66% K -12.42% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.45%EV -7.72% E -1.63% K -2.06% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 22.81%EV -7.93% E -1.96% K -2.60% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 07:35
Betsson1.60I 62.50% NM 57.74%EV -7.45% E -4.66% K -12.42% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.45%EV -7.72% E -1.63% K -2.06% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 22.81%EV -7.93% E -1.96% K -2.60% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 07:34
Bovada1.60I 62.50% NM 57.54%EV -7.45% E -4.66% K -12.42% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.01%EV -10.64% E -2.31% K -2.96% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.45%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 22:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50% NM 57.35%EV -7.45% E -4.66% K -12.42% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.12%EV -6.75% E -1.41% K -1.78% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.53%EV -11.34% E -2.91% K -3.91% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 13:59
Bet Right1.60I 62.50% NM 57.21%EV -7.45% E -4.66% K -12.42% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.90%EV -10.64% E -2.31% K -2.96% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.89%EV -9.07% E -2.27% K -3.02% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 16:35
DraftKings1.59I 62.89% NM 57.93%EV -8.03% E -5.05% K -13.62% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.60%EV -8.70% E -1.85% K -2.35% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.47%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 07:20
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29% NM 57.88%EV -8.61% E -5.45% K -14.85% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.25%EV -7.72% E -1.63% K -2.06% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.86%EV -9.07% E -2.27% K -3.02% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 16:34
Unibet1.57I 63.69% NM 59.14%EV -9.19% E -5.85% K -16.12% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -0.926% E -0.182% K -0.226% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.65%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-03 18:50
FanDuel1.57I 63.69% NM 58.24%EV -9.19% E -5.85% K -16.12% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.46%EV -8.70% E -1.85% K -2.35% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.30%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 16:40
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69% NM 57.43%EV -9.19% E -5.85% K -16.12% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV -12.58% E -2.80% K -3.59% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.54%EV -9.07% E -2.27% K -3.02% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-04 16:35
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69% NM 57.43%EV -9.19% E -5.85% K -16.12% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV -12.58% E -2.80% K -3.59% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.54%EV -9.07% E -2.27% K -3.02% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-04 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69% NM 56.84%EV -9.19% E -5.85% K -16.12% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.28%EV -14.52% E -3.30% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.88%EV -11.34% E -2.91% K -3.91% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 22:15
Coral1.57I 63.69% NM 56.84%EV -9.19% E -5.85% K -16.12% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.28%EV -14.52% E -3.30% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.88%EV -11.34% E -2.91% K -3.91% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 22:15
Neds1.57I 63.69% NM 56.84%EV -9.19% E -5.85% K -16.12% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.28%EV -14.52% E -3.30% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.88%EV -11.34% E -2.91% K -3.91% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69% NM 56.84%EV -9.19% E -5.85% K -16.12% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.28%EV -14.52% E -3.30% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.88%EV -11.34% E -2.91% K -3.91% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -9.77% E -6.26% K -17.44% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -0.926% E -0.182% K -0.226% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-03 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -9.77% E -6.26% K -17.44% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -0.926% E -0.182% K -0.226% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-03 18:50
Casumo1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -9.77% E -6.26% K -17.44% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -0.926% E -0.182% K -0.226% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-03 18:50
TABtouch1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -9.77% E -6.26% K -17.44% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -0.926% E -0.182% K -0.226% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-03 18:50
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -9.77% E -6.26% K -17.44% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -0.926% E -0.182% K -0.226% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-03 18:50
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -9.77% E -6.26% K -17.44% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -0.926% E -0.182% K -0.226% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-03 18:50
betPARX1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -9.77% E -6.26% K -17.44% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -0.926% E -0.182% K -0.226% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-03 18:49
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -9.77% E -6.26% K -17.44% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -0.926% E -0.182% K -0.226% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -6.80% E -1.66% K -2.19% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-03 18:50
BetRivers1.56I 64.10% NM 58.75%EV -9.77% E -6.26% K -17.44% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.33%EV -2.87% E -0.574% K -0.717% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.91%EV -9.07% E -2.27% K -3.02% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-03 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94% NM 59.07%EV -10.93% E -7.09% K -20.23% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.19%EV -2.87% E -0.574% K -0.717% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.74%EV -9.07% E -2.27% K -3.02% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-03 18:50
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 58.84%EV -11.50% E -7.52% K -21.70% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.37%EV -4.81% E -0.982% K -1.23% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.79%EV -10.21% E -2.58% K -3.46% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-03 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 58.84%EV -11.50% E -7.52% K -21.70% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.37%EV -4.81% E -0.982% K -1.23% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.79%EV -10.21% E -2.58% K -3.46% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-03 18:50
SportsBet1.53I 65.36% NM 57.47%EV -11.50% E -7.52% K -21.70% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 19.98%EV -14.52% E -3.30% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.55%EV -11.34% E -2.91% K -3.91% G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-04 16:34
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 56.42%EV -11.50% E -7.52% K -21.70% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 20.55%EV -18.41% E -4.38% K -5.75% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.02%EV -14.75% E -3.93% K -5.36% G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-04 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79% NM 57.29%EV -12.08% E -7.95% K -23.23% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 19.79%EV -14.52% E -3.30% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 22.92%EV -13.62% E -3.58% K -4.86% G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-04 18:45
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79% NM 57.09%EV -12.08% E -7.95% K -23.23% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 20.66%EV -18.41% E -4.38% K -5.75% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.25%EV -11.34% E -2.91% K -3.91% G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-04 07:35
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67% NM 56.17%EV -13.24% E -8.83% K -26.48% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.06%EV -22.29% E -5.57% K -7.43% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 22.77%EV -15.89% E -4.29% K -5.88% G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-04 07:35
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11% NM 58.91%EV -13.82% E -9.27% K -28.20% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 18.29%EV -6.75% E -1.41% K -1.78% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 22.80%EV -12.48% E -3.24% K -4.38% G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-03 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth