La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Dundalk v Drogheda United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundalk (Local)
Predicción 57.14%1.75momio equitativo
EV -4.58%
Ventaja -2.74%
Kelly -6.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.25%57.12%57.14%58.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.611.621.6764.94%61.98%61.73%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Drogheda United (Visitante)
Predicción 18.67%5.36momio equitativo
EV -0.127%
Ventaja -0.024%
Kelly -0.029%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.68%18.67%18.60%20.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.864.905.3522.73%20.57%20.41%18.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.20%4.13momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -0.804%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.34%24.21%24.26%25.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.763.804.0028.57%26.60%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.22%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 18:43 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.91%EV -0.127%E -0.024%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.02%EV -3.46%E -0.867%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.22%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.04%EV -6.30%E -3.84%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.27%EV -4.42%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.68%EV -8.30%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.26%EV -6.87%E -4.21%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -7.57%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 18:43 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -6.87%E -4.21%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -6.87%E -4.21%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -14.11%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.93%E -0.563%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.92%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.01%E -4.98%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -8.01%E -4.98%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-10 18:42 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.01%E -4.98%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.93%E -0.563%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -9.72%E -6.15%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -9.72%E -6.15%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.47%EV -10.87%E -6.97%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.42%EV -10.87%E -6.97%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -10.87%E -6.97%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -12.01%E -7.80%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 0.7% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.89% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.89% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.35% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |