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Dundalk v Drogheda United
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Dundalk (Хозяева)
Прогноз 57.14%1.75справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.58%
Преимущество -2.74%
Kelly -6.84%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.67
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.25%57.12%57.14%58.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.541.611.621.6764.94%61.98%61.73%59.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Drogheda United (Гости)
Прогноз 18.67%5.36справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.127%
Преимущество -0.024%
Kelly -0.029%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.68%18.67%18.60%20.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.404.864.905.3522.73%20.57%20.41%18.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.20%4.13справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.22%
Преимущество -0.804%
Kelly -1.07%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.34%24.21%24.26%25.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.763.804.0028.57%26.60%26.32%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Dundalk (Хозяева): 57.14%; Drogheda United (Гости): 18.67%; Ничья: 24.20%. Для исхода «Drogheda United (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.36. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 5.35, математическое ожидание — -0.127%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.22%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 18:43 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.91%EV -0.127%E -0.024%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.02%EV -3.46%E -0.867%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.22%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.04%EV -6.30%E -3.84%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.27%EV -4.42%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.68%EV -8.30%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.26%EV -6.87%E -4.21%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -7.57%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 18:43 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -6.87%E -4.21%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -6.87%E -4.21%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -14.11%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.93%E -0.563%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.92%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.01%E -4.98%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -8.01%E -4.98%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-10 18:42 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.01%E -4.98%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.93%E -0.563%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -9.72%E -6.15%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -9.72%E -6.15%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.47%EV -10.87%E -6.97%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.42%EV -10.87%E -6.97%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -10.87%E -6.97%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-10 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -12.01%E -7.80%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 0.7% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.89% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.89% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.35% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-07-10 18:45 |