L’École des cotes

Dundalk v Drogheda United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 18:47 UTC

Score final : Dundalk 1–2 Drogheda United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Prévision 57.14%1.75cote équitable
EV -4.58%
Avantage -2.74%
Kelly -6.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.25%57.12%57.14%58.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.611.621.6764.94%61.98%61.73%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Drogheda United (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.67%5.36cote équitable
EV -0.127%
Avantage -0.024%
Kelly -0.029%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.68%18.67%18.60%20.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.864.905.3522.73%20.57%20.41%18.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.20%4.13cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -0.804%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.34%24.21%24.26%25.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.763.804.0028.57%26.60%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.22%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 18:43
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.91%EV -0.127%E -0.024%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.02%EV -3.46%E -0.867%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 18:44
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.22%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 18:44
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 18:44
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 18:44
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.04%EV -6.30%E -3.84%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.27%EV -4.42%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.68%EV -8.30%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 18:44
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.26%EV -6.87%E -4.21%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -7.57%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 18:43
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -6.87%E -4.21%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 18:44
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -6.87%E -4.21%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -14.11%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 18:45
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.93%E -0.563%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-10 18:44
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 18:45
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 18:45
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 18:45
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 18:45
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 18:44
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 18:45
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 18:44
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 18:44
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 18:45
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.92%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 18:44
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 18:44
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-10 18:45
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 18:45
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 18:45
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:44
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.01%E -4.98%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-10 18:45
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -8.01%E -4.98%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 18:42
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.01%E -4.98%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-10 18:44
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.93%E -0.563%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-10 18:45
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-10 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 18:44
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-10 18:44
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-10 18:44
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 18:45
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-10 18:45
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-10 18:44
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-10 18:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -9.72%E -6.15%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-10 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -9.72%E -6.15%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-10 18:45
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 56.47%EV -10.87%E -6.97%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-10 18:44
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.42%EV -10.87%E -6.97%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-10 18:44
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -10.87%E -6.97%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-10 18:44
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -12.01%E -7.80%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-10 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-07-10 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.89%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-07-10 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.89%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-07-10 18:45
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.35%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-07-10 18:45