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Dundalk v Derry City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Dundalk (Хозяева)
Прогноз 37.85%2.64справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.99%
Преимущество +2.14%
Kelly +3.33%
Рост +0.200%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.57%37.72%37.92%39.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.252.472.452.8044.44%40.46%40.82%35.71%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Derry City (Гости)
Прогноз 32.81%3.05справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.258%
Преимущество -0.085%
Kelly -0.127%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.04
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.68%32.95%32.66%38.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.722.653.0441.67%36.75%37.74%32.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 29.34%3.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.73%
Преимущество -0.515%
Kelly -0.734%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.88%29.33%29.41%30.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.103.103.3535.71%32.28%32.26%29.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Dundalk (Хозяева): 37.85%; Derry City (Гости): 32.81%; Ничья: 29.34%. Для исхода «Dundalk (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.64. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.80, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.99%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV +5.99%E +2.14%K +3.33%G +0.200% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -21.26%E -8.86%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -13.71%E -5.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.19%E -0.967%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -8.47%E -2.72%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.68%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -0.258%E -0.085%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.55%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.57%EV -16.34%E -6.41%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.39%E -3.47%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.39%E -3.47%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -6.82%E -2.40%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -1.73%E -0.515%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -11.04%E -4.70%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-10 18:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.04%E -4.70%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -15.81%E -5.51%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -13.71%E -5.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -17.86%E -6.38%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.29%EV -14.83%E -6.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.51%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.20%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-10 18:24 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |