L’École des cotesFrançais
Dundalk v Derry City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Dundalk (Local)
Prévision 37.85%2.64cote équitable
EV +5.99%
Avantage +2.14%
Kelly +3.33%
Croissance +0.200%
avec la cote maximale 2.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.57%37.72%37.92%39.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.452.8044.44%40.46%40.82%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Derry City (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.81%3.05cote équitable
EV -0.258%
Avantage -0.085%
Kelly -0.127%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.68%32.95%32.66%38.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.722.653.0441.67%36.75%37.74%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.34%3.41cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.515%
Kelly -0.734%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.88%29.33%29.41%30.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.103.103.3535.71%32.28%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV +5.99%E +2.14%K +3.33%G +0.200% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -21.26%E -8.86%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -13.71%E -5.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.19%E -0.967%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -8.47%E -2.72%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.68%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -0.258%E -0.085%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.55%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.57%EV -16.34%E -6.41%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.39%E -3.47%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.39%E -3.47%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 17:39 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -6.82%E -2.40%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -1.73%E -0.515%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -11.04%E -4.70%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-10 18:24 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.04%E -4.70%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -15.81%E -5.51%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -13.71%E -5.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -17.86%E -6.38%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.29%EV -14.83%E -6.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.51%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.20%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-10 18:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |